Political Radar


July 2nd, 2013

U.S. Sen. Brian Schatz's campaign released internal polling on Tuesday that showed Schatz and U.S. Rep. Colleen Hanabusa tied in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate.

The poll was taken by The Mellman Group, a Washington, D.C. firm, among 600 likely primary voters statewide. The survey was conducted through live telephone interviews from June 26 to June 30. Twenty percent of the interviews were with voters with cell phones. The margin of error was 4 percentage points.

The horse race:

Schatz: 37%

Hanabusa: 37%

Undecided: 26%

The Mellman Group also found that among voters who said they know both Schatz and Hanabusa, Schatz leads 47 percent to 34 percent.

The Hanabusa campaign had released internal polling earlier this year that showed her with a double-digit lead over Schatz.

Civil Beat, the online news site, posted poll results on Monday that had Schatz with a slight lead.

EMILY's List, which has endorsed Hanabusa, also has a poll on the primary that puts Hanabusa up over Schatz by 11 percentage points.

The automated poll was conducted by Clarity Campaigns on June 10 and June 11 among 771 likely primary voters. Twenty percent of voters were on cell phones. The margin of error was 3.53 percentage points.

Hanabusa: 46%

Schatz: 35%

3 Responses to “Internals”

  1. Kolea:

    Interesting that Schatz would release a poll showing him doing slightly less well than the Civil Beat poll. Unless it is a Jedi Mind Trick to 1) Impress us with his integrity and 2) Push back against Colleen's claim the CB poll is inaccurate and that she is comfortably ahead. This will be a long and possibly close race. I hope supporters of both candidates fight fair. Let the games begin.

  2. Goober:

    Both are opinions and not scientific.
    Both are in need of internal scoping.

  3. Political Radar | Interested parties | Political Radar | staradvertiser.com | Honolulu, Hawaii:

    [...] lead,[17] while internal polling conducted by the respected Mark Mellman found Senator Schatz with a 1 point lead and a 13 point lead among voters who knew both [...]

Leave a Reply

By participating in online discussions you acknowledge that you have agreed to the Star-Advertiser's TERMS OF SERVICE. An insightful discussion of ideas and viewpoints is encouraged, but comments must be civil and in good taste, with no personal attacks. Because only subscribers are allowed to comment, we have your personal information and are able to contact you. If your comments are inappropriate, you may be banned from posting. To report comments that you believe do not follow our guidelines, email commentfeedback@staradvertiser.com.