Political Radar

`History the wrong way'

August 12th, 2014

The drama taking place in Puna on Hawaii Island in the Democratic primary for Senate between U.S. Sen. Brian Schatz and U.S. Rep. Colleen Hanabusa has overshadowed the other big story from Saturday's primary: Gov. Neil Abercrombie's staggering loss.

Abercrombie's loss to state Sen. David Ige in the Democratic primary was the first time an incumbent governor lost in Hawaii since 1962 and the only time a governor fell in a primary.

Geoffrey Skelley, associate editor at Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics, wrote Tuesday that Abercrombie's defeat may be the worst ever by an incumbent governor in U.S. history.

The old record was held by Preston Smith (D-TX), who lost renomination in 1972 by 35.2 points, receiving only 8.7% of the vote and failing to make it to the Texas Democratic runoff, which Dolph Briscoe went on to win. In states without runoffs, the next-biggest loss is Frank Murkowski’s defeat by Sarah Palin in Alaska’s 2006 GOP primary.

5 Responses to “`History the wrong way'”

  1. kamaaina808:

    Maybe local media was overshadowed by the Senate face-off, but Abercrombie's loss certainly wasn't overshadowed in the mainstream media. #NeilAbercrombie was trending on twitter of all places, and media all over the country ran stories.

  2. Chicken Grease:

    Nutty. Can't believe he lost by THIS much. This loss gives political ad and marketing folks a new paradigm, however, so, don't get TOO giddy, Ige-supporters. A lot of what you managed to do was to help these candidate consulting firms something to think about in better manipulating YOU going forward.

    One great silver lining of this "worst in history defeat" -- it will be attributed to the governor who signed gay marriage into law. Gee. About the same # of Hawaii voters who voted against gay marriage similarly voted AGAINST Aber'. Are we ready to repeal this turkey of a law, now? Is THAT what this voter expression is saying, too?

    God never sleeps and with both big votes (one of 'em, recently paired with not one, but TWO hurricanes headed toward us) think He wants us -- here in Hawaii, at least -- to start listening to Him. Amen.

  3. Nala007:

    Grease - that is the biggest BS of an explanation I have ever read. Your claim that Neil's defeat can be attributed to gay marriage is patently false. David Ige voted "Yes" on SB1, the marriage equality law. And take a look at the CD1 race. The only candidate who opposed marriage equality, Donna Mercado Kim, LOST. As for the US Senate Race, both Schatz and Hanabusa support marriage equality. Cynthia Thielen emerged victorious against anti-marriage equality challenger Joan Hood. Rida Cabanilla was defeated by pro-marriage equality challenger Matt LoPresti. The list goes on and on and on. Nala thinks that too much grease has gone to your head.

  4. Chicken Grease:

    August 13th, 2014 at 7:37 am
    Grease - that is the biggest BS of an explanation I have ever read. Your claim that Neil's defeat can be attributed to gay marriage is patently false.

    What? You need to learn to read better. Look -- there is no doubting that the (as we are hearing) the biggest defeat of an incumbent governor is also attached to the guy who voted gay marriage into law. One might not have to do with the other (though both are attached to the guy; There's not denying that). The Wikipedia on this will mention both -- and don't expect people WON'T put two and two together (twosome).

    And, uh, a Grease notices that you conveniently left out a Grease's mention of how just about the majority of voters who voted against gay marriage equal the amount of votes, seemingly, that should have gone to Aber'; instead, it went to Ige -- there HAS to be a majority [who voted for Ige] who did NOT vote for Abercrombie in the name of him signing gay marriage into law. And he was one of the major instigators of gay marriage, far Leftie that he is. Better to gauge an office where the entirety of the state votes instead of neighborhood office voting.

    The kicker is (you'll love this one), a Grease thought Aber' SHOULD get a 2nd term. But, the people have spoken. And a Grease repsects that. A Grease doesn't respect your brand of logic, Nala'.

  5. zzzzzz:

    "both Schatz and Hanabusa support marriage equality. "

    But Hanabusa opposed civil unions. I guess that didn't go far enough for her.

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